Hispanic growth in Florida: Will it determine the election?

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President Obama carried Florida in both the last two elections. One reason: he won 57 percent of the state’s Latino vote in 2008 and 60 percent in 2012. Clinton’s support is not as high, around 53.

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Hispanics over the age of 18 are 16% of the adult American population. The number of eligible Hispanic voters – the number that could listed be on the electoral census – will be a 13% of the total, 2% more than in the last presidential race. In some key states like Florida, it will be 17.1% to 20.2%.

Krogstad, however, added Florida, Nevada and Colorado are three states where the power of the Hispanic vote has the potential to determine who will become the next president.

With 1.3 million Latinos voting in the state last year compared to 748,000 four years earlier, the growth of Hispanic voters in Florida was double the rate of the entire electorate between the midterm elections of 2014 and 2018, according to the Miami Herald.

Trump’s defeat in Florida will stem primarily from the Hispanic vote, since Latinos have a growing influence in the state and show a clear preference for Clinton. According to our forecast, 18% of.

This is a benchmark year for the hispanic voting population. Between. Florida – another hugely important battleground state. If you look at the.

Nikki Fried headed into Election Day last fall with a. Democrats’ ongoing Florida struggles come amidst a period of rapid growth and diversification in the state. Non-Hispanic whites made up just.

These are the factors that will determine the winner on. party professionals view statewide elections in Florida as almost three separate contests in different parts of the state: liberal and.

This change reflects the gradual but continuous growth in the Hispanic share of eligible voters, up from 9% in the 2008 presidential election and 7% in the 2000 election. The black eligible voter population has grown about as fast as the electorate overall, meaning their share has held constant at about 12% since 2000.

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Why, going into the 2016 election. young, Hispanic and Asian) are registering as independent, a pattern found across the nation. Between 1964 and 2012, Florida’s population growth doubled its.

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